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Red1
246845.2
331058.2
374122.9
Blue0
147767.5
528719.6
463911.5
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1539505020025030035040010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
Unranked
58.22.4
64.962.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.3
1477
Unranked
67.51.7
69.267.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2468
Unranked
45.22.4
51.949.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.6
5287
Unranked
19.61.7
21.419.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3741
Unranked
22.92.4
27.525.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
4639
Unranked
11.51.7
13.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End