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Red0
348135.1
458732.9
541410.0
Blue1
14872.8
27890.8
39999.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7811105015020025030001

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
Unranked
35.11.4
36.535.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 37.7
148
Unranked
72.81.7
81.780.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4587
Unranked
32.91.4
34.332.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.3
3999
Unranked
9.61.7
14.412.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5414
Unranked
10.02.1
12.110.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.2
2789
Unranked
0.81.7
9.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End