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Red57
147767.5
288112.9
528719.6
Blue100
62484.7
310326.4
50529.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132133608010012016018020057100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
Unranked
67.53.8
72.568.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.2
624
Unranked
84.71.6
87.285.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5287
Unranked
19.64.7
24.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
3103
Unranked
26.41.6
32.530.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2881
Unranked
12.93.8
36.632.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
5052
Unranked
9.91.6
12.611.0
Auto
Teleop
End