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Red103
258740.2
458732.9
463911.5
Blue27
288112.9
45737.0
333532.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9411305015020025030010327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
Unranked
40.20.3
39.840.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
457
Unranked
37.04.1
42.338.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4587
Unranked
32.90.3
38.138.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3335
Unranked
32.64.1
34.730.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4639
Unranked
11.50.3
18.819.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2881
Unranked
12.94.1
32.828.7
Auto
Teleop
End