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Red122
147767.5
420612.6
541410.0
Blue107
142917.4
41838.6
999910.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121660200300400500122107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
Unranked
67.50.5
77.678.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 28.9
418
Unranked
38.61.6
37.939.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4206
Unranked
12.60.5
16.316.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
1429
Unranked
17.41.6
25.026.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5414
Unranked
10.00.8
18.419.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
9999
Unranked
10.32.7
11.414.1
Auto
Teleop
End