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Red160
62484.7
99983.1
458732.9
Blue141
420612.6
50529.9
331058.2
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14977050100200250300350160141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
Unranked
84.71.1
92.093.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.5
3310
Unranked
58.22.7
63.366.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4587
Unranked
32.91.1
37.038.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.3
4206
Unranked
12.62.7
15.318.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
9998
Unranked
3.11.9
8.510.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
5052
Unranked
9.92.7
9.011.7
Auto
Teleop
End