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Red80
45737.0
39999.6
246845.2
Blue117
348135.1
288112.9
11885.5
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115184030040050080117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
Unranked
45.22.3
60.758.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 40.2
118
Unranked
85.52.8
101.999.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
457
Unranked
37.02.3
46.243.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
3481
Unranked
35.12.8
42.339.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3999
Unranked
9.62.3
18.816.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2881
Unranked
12.92.8
29.026.2
Auto
Teleop
End