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Red156
333532.6
310326.4
215838.8
Blue38
246845.2
999910.3
295033.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9012805015020025030035015638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
Unranked
38.83.0
37.740.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
2468
Unranked
45.24.2
58.454.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3335
Unranked
32.63.0
32.936.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2950
Unranked
33.74.2
39.835.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3103
Unranked
26.43.0
25.228.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.1
9999
Unranked
10.37.0
24.217.1
Auto
Teleop
End