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Red180
14872.8
11885.5
295033.7
Blue72
384732.5
458732.9
288112.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24288020030040050018072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
85.51.9
96.594.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 52.5
4587
Unranked
32.92.0
38.236.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
Unranked
72.81.9
85.984.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 40.3
3847
Unranked
32.52.0
49.247.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2950
Unranked
33.71.9
35.633.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.8
2881
Unranked
12.92.0
24.022.1
Auto
Teleop
End