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Red180
348135.1
147767.5
5724.3
Blue121
373536.7
331058.2
295033.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123148050100200250300350180121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
Unranked
67.52.7
68.771.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
3310
Unranked
58.21.2
57.756.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3481
Unranked
35.12.7
35.037.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3735
Unranked
36.71.2
43.342.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
57
Unranked
24.32.7
22.825.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
2950
Unranked
33.71.2
43.141.9
Auto
Teleop
End