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Red131
546925.8
458740.5
347842.7
Blue57
77419.9
420613.5
246849.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956305015020025013157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
Unranked
42.72.0
37.839.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
2468
Unranked
49.60.5
56.255.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4587
Unranked
40.52.0
40.742.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.0
4206
Unranked
13.50.5
7.87.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5469
Unranked
25.83.4
11.715.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
7741
Unranked
9.90.9
3.93.0
Auto
Teleop
End