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Red118
399917.1
420916.0
458740.5
Blue101
11888.5
208011.4
258736.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions581610100200250300350400118101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
Unranked
40.52.2
42.744.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 47.9
118
Unranked
88.52.2
93.391.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3999
Unranked
17.12.2
17.219.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 19.2
2587
Unranked
36.32.2
41.639.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4209
Unranked
16.02.2
14.016.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
2080
Unranked
11.42.2
10.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End