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Red41
62469.0
384754.3
399917.1
Blue76
347842.7
147756.2
420916.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134133501001502004176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
Unranked
69.04.6
74.269.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.8
1477
Unranked
56.22.9
77.474.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3847
Unranked
54.34.6
40.035.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
3478
Unranked
42.72.9
38.135.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3999
Unranked
17.14.6
18.113.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
4209
Unranked
16.02.9
19.116.2
Auto
Teleop
End