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Red76
45736.2
215839.7
399725.4
Blue131
458748.8
11897.7
505225.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108155020030040050060076131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
Unranked
39.72.0
40.038.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 58.0
118
Unranked
97.70.8
86.285.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
457
Unranked
36.22.0
37.035.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
4587
Unranked
48.80.8
33.432.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3997
Unranked
25.42.0
38.536.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
5052
Unranked
25.30.8
28.127.3
Auto
Teleop
End