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Red98
331063.5
272117.6
181768.4
Blue116
246858.3
505225.3
62481.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116177030040050098116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1817
Unranked
68.41.4
61.359.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.8
624
Unranked
81.22.6
85.482.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3310
Unranked
63.51.4
50.849.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
2468
Unranked
58.32.6
55.352.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2721
Unranked
17.61.4
13.512.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
5052
Unranked
25.32.6
27.324.7
Auto
Teleop
End