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Red22
300546.8
541410.5
399921.4
Blue88
215839.7
461025.8
458748.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6010601502002503003504002288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
Unranked
46.82.3
40.738.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
4587
Unranked
48.80.6
35.134.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3999
Unranked
21.42.3
17.415.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.4
2158
Unranked
39.70.6
38.037.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5414
Unranked
10.53.0
8.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.3
4610
Unranked
25.80.6
26.325.7
Auto
Teleop
End