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Red150
62481.2
300546.8
272117.6
Blue106
280520.9
295035.4
14865.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137115050200250300350150106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
Unranked
81.20.8
82.883.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.9
148
Unranked
65.30.6
68.367.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3005
Unranked
46.80.8
38.539.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.4
2950
Unranked
35.40.6
31.330.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2721
Unranked
17.60.8
12.213.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
2805
Unranked
20.90.6
18.317.7
Auto
Teleop
End