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Red150
14865.3
384754.0
541410.5
Blue87
528722.1
433511.3
505225.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1363205010020025030035015087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
Unranked
65.31.5
67.268.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 40.0
5052
Unranked
25.32.0
18.120.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3847
Unranked
54.01.5
42.944.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.9
5287
Unranked
22.12.0
20.422.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5414
Unranked
10.52.3
10.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
4335
Unranked
11.32.0
9.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End