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Red190
999918.2
11897.7
14865.3
Blue161
331063.5
384754.0
399921.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1891080300400190161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
97.70.7
93.293.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 34.2
3310
Unranked
63.52.0
52.955.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
148
Unranked
65.30.7
65.165.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.3
3847
Unranked
54.02.0
46.048.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
9999
Unranked
18.20.7
18.218.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
3999
Unranked
21.42.0
21.323.3
Auto
Teleop
End