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Red111
129647.9
999918.2
246858.3
Blue108
45736.2
458748.8
258747.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161340200300400500600111108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
Unranked
58.30.4
55.455.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
4587
Unranked
48.81.2
47.446.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1296
Unranked
47.90.4
44.944.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2587
Unranked
47.41.2
48.447.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
9999
Unranked
18.20.4
18.918.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
457
Unranked
36.21.2
35.734.5
Auto
Teleop
End