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Red111
384754.0
129647.9
11897.7
Blue212
310329.5
62481.2
147782.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172171100150200250111212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
97.72.9
89.186.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.4
1477
Unranked
82.31.9
60.562.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3847
Unranked
54.02.9
44.441.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 27.2
624
Unranked
81.21.9
86.388.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1296
Unranked
47.92.9
35.232.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.3
3103
Unranked
29.51.9
27.729.6
Auto
Teleop
End