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Red60
42218.3
361420.2
45725.7
Blue21
219032.0
33057.7
293617.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions686202040801001201401606021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#14
25.70.1
26.726.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.4
2190
#10
32.00.9
34.133.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20.20.1
21.221.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
2936
#30
17.10.9
19.118.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
422
#26
18.30.1
19.319.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
7.70.9
9.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End