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Red130
278910.2
14855.2
246846.1
Blue33
333721.4
238623.8
215819.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12256010015020013033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#7
55.20.3
55.355.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 31.4
2386
#22
23.80.7
24.523.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
46.10.4
46.246.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.7
3337
#11
21.40.7
22.121.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2789
#38
10.20.4
10.310.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.2
2158
#12
19.40.7
20.119.4
Auto
Teleop
End