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Red51
44111.7
32409.0
467010.7
Blue132
303514.4
215819.4
65316.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4234010015020051132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
441
#43
11.70.8
12.613.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.7
2158
#12
19.48.0
12.120.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4670
#64
10.70.8
10.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
653
#39
16.68.0
12.520.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3240
#41
9.00.8
18.118.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
3035
#60
14.48.0
11.019.0
Auto
Teleop
End