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Red1
4996.6
370015.0
459712.1
Blue86
42218.3
441218.2
45725.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40510100150200250300186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3700
#25
15.03.4
18.014.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.7
457
#14
25.73.1
14.317.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4597
#33
12.13.4
14.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
422
#26
18.33.1
25.128.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
499
#56
6.63.4
8.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
4412
#13
18.23.1
9.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End