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Red130
280521.4
406319.6
441218.2
Blue50
467010.7
356121.9
19033.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4371010015020025030013050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2805
#59
21.46.9
9.516.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.8
190
#18
33.31.4
36.935.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4063
#32
19.66.9
25.232.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
3561
#23
21.91.4
18.917.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4412
#13
18.26.9
12.719.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
4670
#64
10.71.4
11.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End