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Red30
238623.8
303514.4
30805.3
Blue43
332017.1
505213.8
421925.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions526101001502002503003043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2386
#22
23.82.0
28.726.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
4219
#36
25.71.4
30.328.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3035
#60
14.42.0
19.017.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
3320
#19
17.11.4
13.912.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3080
#49
5.32.0
5.83.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
5052
#16
13.81.4
15.614.2
Auto
Teleop
End