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Red62
433211.3
219032.0
367914.2
Blue50
374316.7
336610.9
280521.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603201001502002503006250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2190
#10
32.00.5
31.632.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
2805
#59
21.41.1
16.417.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3679
#28
14.20.5
18.018.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
3743
#29
16.71.1
11.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4332
#51
11.30.5
6.57.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3366
#54
10.91.1
8.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End