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Red19
4996.6
332017.1
367914.2
Blue72
505213.8
65316.6
469613.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314701001502002501972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3320
#19
17.11.2
14.413.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
653
#39
16.62.3
22.624.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3679
#28
14.21.2
18.517.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
5052
#16
13.82.3
20.322.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
499
#56
6.61.2
0.8-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
4696
#24
13.22.3
1.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End