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Red96
421925.7
333530.0
215819.4
Blue126
374316.7
361420.2
246846.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69682040608010012014096126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3335
#17
30.02.3
25.327.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
46.14.7
36.841.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4219
#36
25.72.3
24.927.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
20.24.7
17.322.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2158
#12
19.42.3
18.020.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
3743
#29
16.74.7
15.019.8
Auto
Teleop
End