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Red81
52419.2
467010.7
296919.1
Blue87
164213.8
4996.6
29521.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4811001502008187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2969
#21
19.13.4
17.621.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
1642
#62
13.86.5
7.514.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4670
#64
10.73.4
10.513.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
499
#56
6.66.5
-0.46.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5241
#57
9.23.4
12.515.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
2952
#63
1.66.5
1.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End