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Red80
62471.4
29666.6
348121.5
Blue40
296919.1
303514.4
374316.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1284401001502002503008040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#1
71.42.7
76.173.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 52.3
2969
#21
19.11.3
21.019.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3481
#15
21.52.7
26.323.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
3743
#29
16.71.3
18.917.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2966
#35
6.62.7
11.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
3035
#60
14.41.3
16.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End