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Red21
474713.6
498110.5
293617.1
Blue51
370015.0
421925.7
296919.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36690501001502002151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2936
#30
17.11.5
19.217.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.6
4219
#36
25.70.9
27.426.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4747
#46
13.61.5
9.37.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
2969
#21
19.10.9
19.718.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4981
#55
10.51.5
13.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
3700
#25
15.00.9
17.016.1
Auto
Teleop
End