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Red2
374316.7
278910.2
469613.2
Blue51
333721.4
293617.1
70430.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34850150200250300350251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3743
#29
16.73.3
16.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
704
#20
30.42.2
28.025.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4696
#24
13.23.3
7.94.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.1
3337
#11
21.42.2
17.715.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2789
#38
10.23.3
17.314.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
2936
#30
17.12.2
31.629.4
Auto
Teleop
End