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Red127
333721.4
280521.4
474713.6
Blue78
164213.8
300818.3
459712.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414020608010012012778

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2805
#59
21.45.8
15.721.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3008
#47
18.32.5
19.522.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3337
#11
21.45.8
17.222.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
1642
#62
13.82.5
11.313.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4747
#46
13.65.8
7.813.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
4597
#33
12.12.5
9.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End