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Quarterfinal 3-22014 Utah Regional
Red140
319110.6
299641.2
212262.9
Blue75
433439.2
170029.5
328838.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121085015020014075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#3
62.90.5
61.8→62.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 23.7
4334
#14
39.20.6
39.7→39.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2996
#23
41.20.5
40.2→40.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.9
3288
#8
38.30.6
38.9→38.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3191
#38
10.60.5
9.6→10.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 18.9
1700
#18
29.50.6
30.1→29.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—