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Qual 182014 Utah Regional
Red30
248415.7
156632.8
42685.0
Blue125
534613.8
340522.4
39951.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359505015020030125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1566
#20
32.81.2
21.2→20.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 19.0
399
#2
51.82.0
54.7→56.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2484
#17
15.71.2
8.8→7.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.7
3405
#28
22.43.3
17.0→20.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4268
#41
5.01.2
14.4→13.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 8.8
5346
#37
13.83.3
13.5→16.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—