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Red72
161961.5
43484.7
324313.3
Blue5
133923.2
141025.7
417814.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50620100150725

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.51.7
25.927.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.8
1410
#10
25.74.6
29.524.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3243
#12
13.31.7
17.619.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.9
1339
#33
23.24.6
19.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4348
#45
4.71.7
8.610.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.6
4178
#44
14.34.6
10.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End