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Red96
212262.9
340522.4
324530.8
Blue35
328838.3
189122.3
333424.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1005801502009635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.90.2
36.937.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.6
38.32.5
26.624.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3245
#11
30.80.2
36.236.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
24.42.5
19.817.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3405
#28
22.40.2
20.320.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1891
#25
22.32.5
18.315.8
Auto
Teleop
End