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Red40
50719.4
366939.2
43484.7
Blue46
156632.8
243719.6
300617.3
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39720501001504046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3669
#35
39.20.4
22.422.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
1566
#20
32.81.8
21.219.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
5071
#31
9.40.4
11.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.3
2437
#21
19.61.8
24.823.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4348
#45
4.70.4
10.29.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.6
3006
#32
17.31.8
21.119.3
Auto
Teleop
End