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Red32
264324.2
417814.3
324313.3
Blue100
340522.4
333424.4
328923.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4756010015020032100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2643
#34
24.20.8
22.822.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
24.43.8
17.321.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4178
#44
14.31.3
6.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.9
3289
#19
23.23.8
16.420.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3243
#12
13.31.3
19.317.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.1
3405
#28
22.43.8
20.624.4
Auto
Teleop
End