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Red52
328838.3
133923.2
534613.8
Blue5
189122.3
324122.8
248415.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5958204080100525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.5
23.322.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.5
3241
#16
22.84.4
17.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1339
#33
23.20.5
21.220.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1891
#25
22.34.4
23.018.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5346
#37
13.80.3
13.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
2484
#17
15.74.4
17.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End