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Red42
319110.6
66236.0
323038.5
Blue22
324313.3
259416.5
325121.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85310501001502004222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.52.9
31.929.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.4
3251
#39
21.11.4
7.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
662
#4
36.02.9
34.431.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.5
2594
#29
16.51.4
14.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3191
#38
10.62.9
10.07.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
3243
#12
13.31.4
17.916.5
Auto
Teleop
End