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Red38
43484.7
431020.5
324530.8
Blue42
340522.4
337416.7
417524.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595602040801001201403842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#11
30.81.7
31.529.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
4175
#26
24.31.2
15.714.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4310
#22
20.51.7
16.614.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
3405
#28
22.41.2
24.323.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4348
#45
4.71.7
9.98.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.0
3374
#15
16.71.2
16.215.0
Auto
Teleop
End