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Red101
156946.3
141025.7
333424.4
Blue21
45853.0
133923.2
323914.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9648015020010121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.31.1
46.948.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.1
1339
#33
23.22.9
27.624.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1410
#10
25.71.1
18.619.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
3239
#30
14.92.9
16.914.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
24.41.1
22.823.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 21.5
4585
#42
3.02.9
11.08.1
Auto
Teleop
End