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Red118
328838.3
324122.8
417524.3
Blue10
459821.2
189122.3
45853.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7443010015020011810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.33.5
31.935.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.0
1891
#25
22.32.8
21.118.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4175
#26
24.33.5
17.220.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
4598
#24
21.22.8
19.416.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3241
#16
22.83.8
20.524.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 19.9
4585
#42
3.02.8
7.85.0
Auto
Teleop
End