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Red40
431020.5
6984.4
494422.8
Blue11
156632.8
42517.7
43484.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5342020801001201401604011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4944
#13
22.80.8
27.426.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
1566
#20
32.82.2
32.230.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4310
#22
20.50.8
19.719.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.9
4251
#46
7.72.2
7.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
698
#43
4.40.8
4.53.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
4348
#45
4.72.4
4.62.3
Auto
Teleop
End