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Red1
459821.2
333424.4
42517.7
Blue265
170029.5
299330.5
66236.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426201001502002501265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.43.6
19.315.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.6
662
#4
36.017.1
15.632.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4598
#24
21.23.6
14.210.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
30.517.1
20.537.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4251
#46
7.73.6
11.37.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.9
1700
#18
29.517.1
23.340.4
Auto
Teleop
End