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Semifinal 1-12014 Utah Regional
Red109
39951.8
161961.5
259416.5
Blue111
340522.4
323038.5
324530.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14582050100200250300109111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#1
61.50.4
63.8→63.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 23.0
3230
#6
38.50.3
38.5→38.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
399
#2
51.80.4
54.1→53.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.0
3245
#11
30.80.3
30.8→31.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
2594
#29
16.50.4
17.5→17.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.9
3405
#28
22.40.4
22.4→22.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—