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Qual 12014 Virginia Regional
Red116
61131.7
38838.8
153345.3
Blue12
240218.6
532320.0
307223.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7442010015020025011612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#5
45.32.6
32.7→35.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 21.6
3072
#21
23.72.9
16.0→13.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
388
#6
38.83.9
17.1→21.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.8
5323
#16
20.08.9
20.0→11.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
611
#44
31.73.9
19.3→23.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 13.2
2402
#39
18.62.9
17.1→14.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—